CD Illescas vs Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
30.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
QRE
0 - 0
ILL
26%
28%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ILL
3 - 0
UDS
59%
24%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
ILL
2 - 0
TAR
52%
25%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
ILL
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ILL
2 - 1
CIU
45%
28%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 0
DAI
66%
22%
12%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 2
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
MIG
1 - 2
MAN
34%
27%
39%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 2
ALM
28%
28%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
HEL
2 - 1
MAN
48%
27%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |