CD Illescas vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
ILL
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ILL
1 - 1
ROD
21%
24%
55%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 1
ILL
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ILL
0 - 1
QRE
31%
25%
44%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
CDT
4 - 0
ILL
82%
13%
5%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
CDT
2 - 2
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
PUE
1 - 2
CDT
62%
23%
15%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
CDT
1 - 2
TAR
66%
21%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 2
CDT
52%
25%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
CDT
0 - 3
ALM
36%
27%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |