Illertissen vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ELT
2 - 5
ILL
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 1
ISM
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
186
2 - 1
ILL
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ILL
3 - 2
BAY
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 0
ILL
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 3
BAY
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ISM
1 - 3
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
EIN
3 - 1
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
NUR
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
FRO
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |