Iliturgi CF vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
JUV
1 - 0
ILI
72%
19%
10%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
POL
1 - 0
ILI
76%
17%
7%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
ILI
0 - 1
COI
52%
26%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
EST
0 - 2
ILI
53%
26%
20%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ILI
2 - 2
BAZ
27%
28%
45%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
MMA
1 - 1
COI
50%
27%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
EST
0 - 0
MMA
37%
29%
35%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
MMA
2 - 2
BAZ
34%
28%
38%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
VIL
1 - 2
MMA
63%
22%
16%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
MMA
0 - 0
MEL
46%
28%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |