Iliturgi CF vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
17%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
16.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.8%
27.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
CDB
2 - 1
ILI
68%
21%
11%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
ILI
1 - 1
ARC
51%
28%
21%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
BET
2 - 0
ILI
71%
19%
10%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
ILI
1 - 0
IME
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
DBN
2 - 2
ILI
75%
17%
8%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SFE
2 - 0
CDR
79%
16%
6%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
EST
0 - 0
SFE
39%
32%
29%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
SFE
3 - 0
MOT
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
MEL
0 - 1
SFE
57%
27%
16%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
SFE
1 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |