Ilirija 1911 U19 vs NS Mura U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
9º
1º
31
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilirija 1911 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 3
ILI
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 3
ILI
25%
24%
52%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 4
ILI
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ILI
2 - 1
KRK
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
2 - 2
ILI
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NS Mura U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MUR
3 - 1
BRI
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
KRK
2 - 0
MUR
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 0
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
RAD
29%
21%
50%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
2 - 2
MUR
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |