Ilirija 1911 U19 vs Maribor U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
9º
1º
49
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilirija 1911 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 1
ILI
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ILI
1 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NKO
2 - 1
ILI
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ILI
5 - 0
NAF
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
MUR
2 - 5
ILI
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Maribor U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRI
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
KRK
3 - 3
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALU
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RAD
3 - 1
MAR
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
GOR
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +2 |