KF Iliria vs Valbona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
7º
7º
42
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 2 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SOP
3 - 0
ILI
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ILI
2 - 1
ADA
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ILI
1 - 4
ORI
23%
26%
51%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
2 - 2
ILI
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ILI
2 - 0
GRA
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KFV
2 - 0
GRA
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
KFV
2 - 1
SOP
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SHK
4 - 2
KFV
81%
14%
6%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
KFV
2 - 0
KFF
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
ILI
3 - 2
KFV
55%
20%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |