KF Iliria vs Bulqiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
7º
7º
15
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 2 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 68% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 1
ILI
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ILI
3 - 3
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
5 - 0
ILI
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ILI
1 - 3
VOR
13%
19%
68%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NAF
2 - 0
ILI
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Bulqiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 2
GRA
40%
21%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KFV
2 - 0
FCB
82%
12%
7%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 3
SOP
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
ADA
2 - 3
FCB
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
4 - 3
SHE
25%
18%
57%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |