Ilipense-Zalamea vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1308%
+444%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilipense-Zalamea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CDT
4 - 2
ZAL
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZAL
3 - 0
OLY
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ADL
2 - 0
ZAL
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ZAL
2 - 1
SPR
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ZAL
1 - 2
UCL
29%
23%
49%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
4 - 1
CPR
77%
13%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
UDF
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
2 - 2
USA
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
5 - 0
UDF
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UDF
2 - 4
CDB
54%
20%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |