Ilipense-Zalamea vs Sporting Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
66.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1308%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilipense-Zalamea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SBA
3 - 0
ZAL
82%
11%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 5
CDT
18%
19%
63%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ZUR
3 - 2
ZAL
47%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 4
SIR
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FMO
4 - 1
ZAL
77%
13%
10%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
SBA
39%
22%
40%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 1
SMA
44%
21%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SMA
9 - 4
ZUR
73%
14%
13%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SIR
4 - 5
SMA
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
5 - 2
FMO
36%
21%
42%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |