Ilipense-Zalamea vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1308%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilipense-Zalamea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 0
ZAL
63%
19%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ZAL
2 - 0
HER
24%
24%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 2
ZAL
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ZAL
2 - 0
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 2
ZAL
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
GUA
62%
21%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 3
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 3
GUA
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAB
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CDN
0 - 0
GUA
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |