IL Ulfstind vs Fredrikstad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
59.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
14º
10º
31
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IL Ulfstind
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 4
ILU
55%
19%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ILU
2 - 4
HON
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
ILU
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SJE
1 - 1
ILU
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ILU
3 - 3
ELV
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 3
FLO
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 3
FFK
32%
21%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
2 - 1
HAM
44%
21%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
6 - 1
FFK
32%
21%
47%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 1
IFC
75%
14%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |