Gneist vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
65%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
14º
12º
29
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gneist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STA
5 - 0
ILG
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ILG
1 - 0
LOK
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OTF
2 - 4
ILG
96%
3%
1%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ILG
0 - 3
FAN
5%
9%
87%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SKJ
2 - 0
ILG
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
0 - 2
LYS
9%
15%
76%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
6 - 0
LIL
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SKJ
3 - 1
LIL
28%
20%
52%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LIL
0 - 1
OTF
21%
19%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FAN
7 - 1
LIL
71%
16%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |