Gneist vs Grorud II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
49.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
14º
12º
15
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gneist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ULL
4 - 0
ILG
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ILG
1 - 1
GIF
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
ILG
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ILG
3 - 1
LIL
18%
17%
65%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STA
5 - 0
ILG
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Grorud II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GRO
3 - 1
SKJ
18%
19%
64%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
4 - 1
GRO
92%
6%
2%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 2
FAN
8%
13%
79%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LYS
5 - 0
GRO
87%
10%
4%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ULL
0 - 3
GRO
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |