Gneist vs Gjelleråsen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
75.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
14º
12º
42
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gneist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
ILG
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ILG
3 - 1
LIL
18%
17%
65%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STA
5 - 0
ILG
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ILG
1 - 0
LOK
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OTF
2 - 4
ILG
96%
3%
1%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Gjelleråsen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GIF
1 - 2
LYS
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SKJ
2 - 0
GIF
15%
18%
67%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GIF
2 - 1
FAN
42%
23%
36%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 3
GIF
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
GIF
6 - 2
ULL
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |