Gneist vs Frigg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.2%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
87%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
4.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.6%
0-5
6.3%
1-6
2.6%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0%
-5
9.3%
0-6
3.6%
1-7
1.3%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
5%
0-7
1.8%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.4%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
14º
12º
56
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gneist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
ILG
1 - 0
SKJ
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GRO
3 - 0
ILG
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LIL
3 - 1
ILG
92%
5%
2%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
ILG
1 - 3
OTF
6%
11%
83%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SKE
2 - 0
ILG
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FRI
8 - 0
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 2
FRI
47%
22%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 1
LOK
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FRI
3 - 5
S08
7%
14%
78%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
GIF
4 - 4
FRI
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |