Gneist vs Fana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.4%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
86.5%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
4.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.4%
0-5
6.1%
1-6
2.5%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0%
-5
9.1%
0-6
3.5%
1-7
1.2%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.9%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.3%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
14º
12º
51
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gneist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SKJ
2 - 0
ILG
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
ILG
1 - 0
SKE
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +3 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 0
ILG
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
ILG
1 - 2
STA
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ILG
0 - 4
FRI
4%
9%
87%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Fana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FAN
7 - 1
LIL
71%
16%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 3
GIF
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 4
FAN
7%
11%
82%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FAN
8 - 2
GRO
79%
13%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
LYS
1 - 0
FAN
62%
20%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |