IK Tord vs Motala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
7º
24
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Tord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
HER
0 - 0
IKT
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
IKT
1 - 2
IFH
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
KUM
3 - 1
IKT
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
VFK
1 - 0
IKT
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
IKT
0 - 1
LID
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 0
LID
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 0
TFC
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VAN
3 - 0
MOT
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 1
AIF
60%
20%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 2
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |