IK Start vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
8º
5º
31
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FFK
3 - 1
IKS
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
GJO
1 - 0
IKS
13%
18%
70%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 1
IKS
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
HIF
0 - 3
IKS
6%
13%
81%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
IKS
2 - 1
RAN
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
JER
1 - 0
RAU
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
KJE
2 - 1
JER
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
JER
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 1
JER
45%
23%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
JER
2 - 1
HOD
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |