IK Start vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
STR
1 - 2
IKS
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
IKS
3 - 4
S08
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
ULL
0 - 3
IKS
15%
22%
63%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
IKS
2 - 2
RAN
69%
18%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
IKS
3 - 1
BRY
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
HOD
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
STR
42%
24%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BOG
3 - 1
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 4
S08
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
RAN
3 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |