IJsselmeervogels vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IJsselmeervogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
USV
6 - 0
IJS
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
IJS
4 - 3
QUI
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 0
IJS
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 3
IJS
25%
21%
54%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
IJS
0 - 2
NOO
43%
24%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
USV
6 - 0
IJS
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 0
USV
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
USV
1 - 0
UNA
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UDI
1 - 2
USV
6%
15%
80%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
USV
0 - 0
QUI
60%
21%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |