IJsselmeervogels vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
73.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IJsselmeervogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
IJS
2 - 0
SPA
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VOL
0 - 1
IJS
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
IJS
2 - 1
RIJ
21%
20%
59%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
IJS
0 - 3
AFC
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
IJS
3 - 1
SPO
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ADO
0 - 2
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVV
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCE
0 - 1
EXC
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
PSV
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |