Ihud Bnei Baka vs Tzeirei Umm Al-Fahm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
15º
10º
72
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ihud Bnei Baka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
IBK
2 - 3
IBB
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
HBA
0 - 0
IBB
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
MSP
0 - 0
IBB
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
IBB
1 - 1
MNS
39%
22%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 4
IBB
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Tzeirei Umm Al-Fahm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TUA
3 - 1
MNS
79%
13%
7%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
HBF
2 - 4
TUA
18%
19%
63%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
TUA
6 - 0
HTH
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
HBM
1 - 1
TUA
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TUA
3 - 0
MAI
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |