Ihud Bnei Baka vs FC Tirat HaCarmel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
56.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
15º
10º
67
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ihud Bnei Baka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
IBB
0 - 4
IBK
28%
21%
52%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
IBB
0 - 2
HTH
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BHJ
3 - 3
IBB
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
IBB
4 - 3
TUA
37%
22%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HBM
3 - 2
IBB
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tirat HaCarmel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
MTH
2 - 2
MAI
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MKK
7 - 3
MTH
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
MTH
3 - 1
MSP
67%
18%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
MTH
0 - 0
MNS
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
MTH
1 - 0
MKK
82%
12%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |