Ihud Bnei Baka vs Hapoel Bnei Fureidis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
15º
10º
30
5º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ihud Bnei Baka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HTH
2 - 1
IBB
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IBB
1 - 1
HBM
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
MAI
2 - 1
IBB
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HSG
2 - 1
IBB
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HBS
1 - 0
IBB
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hapoel Bnei Fureidis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HBF
4 - 2
MNS
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HBF
2 - 2
MSP
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
HTH
0 - 0
HBF
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HBF
0 - 1
HBM
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MAI
4 - 2
HBF
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |