Cearense 2 Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Iguatu vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
IGU
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 0
IGU
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
IGU
1 - 0
CGF
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
TIR
3 - 1
IGU
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
IGU
1 - 2
ICA
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
PAC
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ICA
4 - 1
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
TIR
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
ITA
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
3 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |