Iguatu vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
IGU
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
IGU
2 - 1
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 1
IGU
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
IGU
1 - 0
CRA
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 3
IGU
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
ITA
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRA
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 1
IGU
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
ITA
24%
23%
54%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 0
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |