Iguatu vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
IGU
2 - 0
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABC
1 - 1
IGU
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CSA
1 - 1
IGU
79%
16%
5%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
IGU
4 - 1
CAU
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IGU
1 - 0
SAN
28%
29%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
CAU
2 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
IGU
4 - 1
CAU
35%
23%
42%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
COR
1 - 4
CAU
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CAU
3 - 1
FPI
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
CAU
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |