Igalo vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
9º
6º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
KOM
2 - 1
IGA
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
IGA
1 - 0
MLJ
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ZET
0 - 3
IGA
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IGA
1 - 0
GRB
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
IGA
2 - 1
BOK
29%
30%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 0
BER
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FKM
1 - 0
OUL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
BOK
1 - 3
OUL
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 0
KOM
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MLJ
0 - 3
OUL
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |