IFK Varnamo vs IK Sirius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
15º
14º
41
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 0
IFK
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 2
HÄC
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
DJU
1 - 0
IFK
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 0
GÖT
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HIF
2 - 2
IFK
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
0 - 1
SIR
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 4
MFF
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 1
GAI
53%
23%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MJÄ
3 - 2
SIR
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 2
DJU
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |