IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
12º
5º
45
2º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ELF
2 - 0
IFK
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 1
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 1
BRO
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 1
IFK
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 0
AIK
17%
24%
59%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 3
BRO
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
DJU
3 - 1
KAL
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 2
SIR
47%
27%
25%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 0
KAL
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 0
HAL
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |