IFK Varnamo vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
12º
16º
16º
29
1º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 61 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
88.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
6 - 1
B93
44%
24%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MFK
2 - 3
IFK
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
MJÄ
2 - 0
IFK
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 1
OIF
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
HÄC
2 - 0
IFK
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
ELF
0 - 1
MJÄ
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ELF
0 - 2
HIF
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
HAL
1 - 4
ELF
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
ELF
4 - 0
DJU
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
ELF
4 - 3
BRO
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |