IFK Varnamo vs Djurgårdens IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
12º
5º
50
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DEG
0 - 2
IFK
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
JON
0 - 3
IFK
33%
24%
43%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 3
MFF
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 0
IFK
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
HIF
0 - 2
IFK
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
DJU
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
HÄC
0 - 1
DJU
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DJU
2 - 2
NOR
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ELF
1 - 1
DJU
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
DJU
1 - 0
AIK
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |