Simrishamn vs Rosengård analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
85.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
11º
6º
60
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SIM
0 - 4
OST
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Rosengård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NOS
2 - 1
ROS
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ROS
3 - 1
KAR
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
FBK
2 - 1
ROS
23%
21%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OST
1 - 2
ROS
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ROS
3 - 2
HAS
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |