Simrishamn vs Österlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
11º
6º
25
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NOS
2 - 0
SIM
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 0
SIM
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 0
IFK
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +3 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SIM
0 - 5
OLY
12%
15%
73%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
VMA
0 - 3
SIM
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OST
2 - 0
KRI
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OST
1 - 1
FBK
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
HAS
1 - 0
OST
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
OST
80%
14%
7%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
OST
0 - 3
TRE
66%
18%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |