Simrishamn vs Nosaby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
81.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
11º
6º
26
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 1
SIM
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 1
ROS
4%
11%
85%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SIM
0 - 4
OST
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Nosaby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
NOS
1 - 0
KRI
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HAS
1 - 1
NOS
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
NOS
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NOS
2 - 1
ROS
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 2
NOS
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |