Simrishamn vs Kristianstad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
11º
6º
34
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 0
SIM
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SIM
4 - 1
FBK
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 0
SIM
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 2
MAL
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OST
1 - 4
SIM
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Kristianstad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
KRI
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
KRI
1 - 1
HAS
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FBK
0 - 2
KRI
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
KRI
0 - 0
TRE
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 0
KRI
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |