Simrishamn vs IFK Trelleborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
13º
12º
37
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 2
FBK
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 2
SIM
46%
21%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 1
NOS
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 2
SIM
33%
21%
46%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 3
SIM
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Trelleborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TRE
7 - 1
OST
32%
21%
47%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 0
TRE
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
HOG
72%
16%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 3
TRE
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TRE
4 - 1
BER
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +3 |