Simrishamn vs IFK Hässleholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
13º
12º
29
2º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
IFK
3 - 1
SIM
49%
21%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 2
RAP
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 3
SIM
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 2
SIM
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 4
IFL
72%
16%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Hässleholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
IFK
47%
21%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 1
NOS
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 1
IFK
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 2
IFK
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 0
KAR
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |