Simrishamn vs Högaborgs BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
13º
12º
37
1º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 2
KRI
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
SIM
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 2
IFK
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
SIM
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 5
TRE
54%
21%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Högaborgs BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
0 - 1
HOG
72%
15%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
HOG
2 - 1
FBK
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NOS
2 - 1
HOG
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HOG
3 - 0
IFL
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 1
HOG
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |