Simrishamn vs Hässleholms IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
11º
6º
59
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 33.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 0
SIM
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 2
TRE
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 4
SIM
57%
20%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SIM
4 - 1
OST
23%
20%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NOS
2 - 0
SIM
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hässleholms IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HAS
1 - 1
KRI
66%
21%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HAS
6 - 0
BER
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FBK
2 - 1
HAS
18%
23%
60%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 3
GAI
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAS
1 - 0
TRE
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |