Simrishamn vs FBK Balkan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
64.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
11º
6º
33
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 0
SIM
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 2
MAL
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OST
1 - 4
SIM
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 0
NOS
5%
13%
82%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | +8 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 1
SIM
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FBK Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
FBK
0 - 2
KRI
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
HAS
0 - 0
FBK
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BER
1 - 3
FBK
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 2
TRE
78%
14%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 4
FBK
57%
20%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |