IFK Norrköping vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
16º
7º
13
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 56 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 53 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 48 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 48 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 46 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 43 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 40 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 38 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 37 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 37 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 23 |
16º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
3% | 8.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
12.5% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GÖT
1 - 1
NOR
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 0
GAI
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MJÄ
3 - 0
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 5
MFF
40%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 5
NOR
14%
18%
68%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ELF
1 - 2
KAL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 0
ELF
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 1
ELF
29%
25%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 2
IFK
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ELF
4 - 0
HAL
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |