IFK Luleå vs Älgarna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
7º
9
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Luleå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 0
IFK
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IFK
3 - 1
KFF
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUC
4 - 0
IFK
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -3 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 3
GIF
66%
19%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FIF
1 - 2
IFK
12%
16%
72%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Älgarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IFA
2 - 2
THO
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BOD
3 - 1
IFA
78%
13%
8%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FIF
3 - 2
IFA
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 4
BER
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IFA
3 - 3
UAK
65%
17%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |