Karlshamn vs Österlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
14º
13º
18
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 56 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 50 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 40 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 39 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 31 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
48% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
KAR
3 - 1
IFK
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 1
FBK
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
VAX
2 - 0
IFK
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | -3 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 1
IFK
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
RAP
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
KRI
1 - 1
OST
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
OST
0 - 1
IFK
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
OST
2 - 3
SOG
60%
20%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 0
OST
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OST
0 - 1
HAS
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |