Karlshamn vs Karlskrona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
14º
11º
24
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 56 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 47 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 41 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 40 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 35 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 31 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 30 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 9% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
NOS
4 - 0
IFK
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
TRE
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
4 - 2
IFK
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 3
IFK
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
KRI
13%
16%
71%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Karlskrona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 3
KRI
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OST
1 - 1
KAR
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
4 - 1
TOR
36%
23%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SOG
2 - 0
KAR
31%
22%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 0
TRE
53%
20%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |