Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
53.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
14º
13º
20
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 56 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 50 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 40 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 39 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 31 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
48% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
4 - 2
IFK
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 3
IFK
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
KRI
13%
16%
71%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 1
TOR
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LIN
4 - 1
IFK
21%
20%
58%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
IFK Trelleborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 0
VAX
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
TRE
7 - 2
IFK
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 0
TRE
53%
20%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
TRE
1 - 3
OST
60%
19%
22%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 1
TRE
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |