Karlshamn vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
13º
5º
26
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
3 - 1
IFL
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 1
IFK
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 1
IFK
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 0
HAS
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OST
4 - 1
IFK
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 2
RAP
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 3
SIM
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 2
SIM
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 4
IFL
72%
16%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 2
SIM
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |