Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 3-2
IFK Göteborg vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GÖT
2 - 1
JON
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
GÖT
0 - 0
PGL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ELF
1 - 1
GÖT
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
PGL
0 - 3
GÖT
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
GÖT
4 - 1
GIF
63%
21%
15%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
HJK
4 - 2
PK3
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
HJK
1 - 0
BER
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ILV
1 - 0
HJK
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
HJK
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
HJK
2 - 0
PSK
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |